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Oscar for Best MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING·closes in 16mo

Will Clayface win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars?

YES means Clayface

24h volume
0
204 lifetime
Open interest
71
+0 over 7d
Spread
28¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 41¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 41¢
NO bid / ask
59¢ / 87¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 18Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9.0291¢
  • ask1182¢
  • ask20080¢
  • ask5379¢
  • ask1,01278¢
  • ask70042¢
  • ask541¢
spread28¢mid 27¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid21011¢
  • bid2,38010¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Clayface has won Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARMAH-27-CLA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 111¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago10¢22bought no
12d ago10¢5bought no
24d ago8¢64bought no
26d ago15¢0.94bought yes
1mo ago21¢2.13bought yes
1mo ago20¢96bought yes
1mo ago21¢9.02bought yes
1mo ago21¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.