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Best Adapted Screenplay·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

24h volume
0
1,211 lifetime
Open interest
863
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
32%

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
68%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 39¢
NO bid / ask
61¢ / 69¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask22899¢
  • ask14998¢
  • ask772¢
  • ask26871¢
  • ask20040¢
  • ask539¢
spread8¢mid 35¢
  • bid20031¢
  • bid20811¢
  • bid29810¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth has been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
May 28 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-ADV
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago32¢2.08bought no
7d ago41¢4.68bought yes
13d ago41¢2.34bought yes
17d ago40¢20bought yes
18d ago46¢2.08bought yes
19d ago40¢200bought yes
19d ago75¢22bought yes
20d ago40¢9.57bought yes
1mo ago39¢54bought yes
1mo ago39¢2.45bought yes
2mo ago39¢1.47bought yes
2mo ago38¢1bought yes
2mo ago39¢7.62bought yes
2mo ago38¢56bought yes
2mo ago38¢2.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.