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Oscar nominations for Best Casting·closes in 16mo

2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations?

YES means Wild Horse Nine

24h volume
400
2,488 lifetime
Open interest
1,581
+6.94 over 7d
Spread
5¢
200 × 1.69 at the touch
24h range
74¢ – 80¢
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
74%+3

A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
26%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 84¢
NO bid / ask
16¢ / 21¢
24h low 74¢24h high 80¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volSep 15Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask21099¢
  • ask1,59898¢
  • ask2,00088¢
  • ask60387¢
  • ask20286¢
  • ask285¢
  • ask1.6984¢
spread5¢mid 82¢
  • bid20079¢
  • bid1.1164¢
  • bid1063¢
  • bid5.751¢
  • bid2050¢
  • bid2738¢
  • bid29937¢
  • bid343¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Wild Horse Nine has been nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 15 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMBCASTING-27-WIL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12h ago74¢200bought no
13h ago80¢200bought no
3d ago71¢3.68bought yes
3d ago70¢3.26bought yes
9d ago63¢20bought no
9d ago65¢20bought no
17d ago64¢200bought yes
18d ago68¢200bought yes
18d ago64¢200bought yes
26d ago61¢200bought yes
28d ago57¢20bought no
28d ago56¢82bought no
1mo ago63¢5bought yes
2mo ago63¢1bought yes
2mo ago59¢81bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.