galdor.xyz
Admin
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM·closes in 16mo

2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations?

YES means 1949 / Fatherland

24h volume
0
5,392 lifetime
Open interest
1,890
+166 over 7d
Spread
8¢
15 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
45 recent trades
Chance of YES
54%

A YES contract costs 54¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
46%

costs 54¢

YES bid / ask
46¢ / 54¢
NO bid / ask
46¢ / 54¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15099¢
  • ask1,59596¢
  • ask5995¢
  • ask3394¢
  • ask2993¢
  • ask2089¢
  • ask22155¢
  • ask554¢
spread8¢mid 50¢
  • bid1546¢
  • bid3845¢
  • bid21443¢
  • bid20041¢
  • bid2913¢
  • bid5212¢
  • bid5811¢
  • bid1,2019¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If 1949 / Fatherland has been nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMINTERFILM-27-194
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 45 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago54¢4.91bought yes
2d ago56¢4.91bought yes
3d ago53¢5.48bought yes
3d ago53¢5.48bought yes
3d ago54¢6bought yes
3d ago55¢14bought yes
4d ago52¢33bought no
4d ago53¢2.64bought no
4d ago59¢14bought no
4d ago60¢2bought no
4d ago59¢200bought no
6d ago66¢48bought yes
6d ago65¢2bought yes
7d ago57¢44bought no
7d ago58¢6bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.