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MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations?

YES means Clayface

24h volume
0
3,959 lifetime
Open interest
1,579
+30 over 7d
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
47%

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
53%

costs 62¢

YES bid / ask
38¢ / 46¢
NO bid / ask
54¢ / 62¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15099¢
  • ask1,15892¢
  • ask7691¢
  • ask5390¢
  • ask180¢
  • ask9062¢
  • ask20047¢
  • ask546¢
spread8¢mid 42¢
  • bid20038¢
  • bid9023¢
  • bid4918¢
  • bid31517¢
  • bid50016¢
  • bid5,0002¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Clayface has been nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-CLA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago47¢30bought yes
7d ago43¢109bought no
10d ago43¢9.85bought no
12d ago46¢2.5bought no
16d ago50¢200bought no
25d ago59¢0.32bought yes
1mo ago51¢61bought no
1mo ago56¢10bought no
1mo ago51¢200bought no
1mo ago36¢4.9bought no
1mo ago57¢16bought no
1mo ago58¢3.34bought yes
1mo ago57¢5bought yes
1mo ago58¢3.45bought yes
1mo ago57¢2.5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.