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Oscar for Best Original Score·closes in 16mo

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

YES means Dune: Part Three

24h volume
0
1,320 lifetime
Open interest
688
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 82¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8.6269¢
  • ask1,39766¢
  • ask50055¢
  • ask1,17554¢
  • ask4553¢
  • ask1852¢
  • ask20027¢
  • ask526¢
spread8¢mid 22¢
  • bid20018¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dune: Part Three has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARSCORE-27-DUN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 111¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago20¢86bought yes
9d ago17¢135bought no
11d ago25¢7.6bought yes
11d ago24¢159bought no
11d ago27¢106bought yes
17d ago13¢50bought no
17d ago15¢9.12bought no
27d ago22¢8.62bought yes
28d ago23¢4.12bought yes
1mo ago23¢78bought yes
1mo ago22¢5bought yes
1mo ago22¢24bought yes
1mo ago21¢20bought yes
1mo ago20¢20bought no
1mo ago19¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.