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Oscar for Best Supporting Actor·closes in 16mo

Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

YES means Edward Norton

24h volume
1,652
8,140 lifetime
Open interest
7,117
Spread
37¢
0 × 15 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 50¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%+48

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 100¢
24h low 3¢24h high 50¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Edward Norton has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 28 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARSUPACTO-27-EDW
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago50¢11bought yes
8h ago23¢25bought yes
8h ago7¢495bought yes
8h ago8¢600bought yes
14h ago4¢120bought yes
14h ago7¢5.27bought yes
14h ago3¢296bought yes
15h ago3¢100bought yes
2d ago2¢104bought yes
2d ago2¢130bought yes
2d ago2¢25bought yes
2d ago2¢187bought yes
3d ago2¢1bought yes
3d ago2¢1bought yes
4d ago2¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.