WHO WILL BE CHARACTER IN JAMES BOND·closes in 52mo

Will Daisy Edgar-Jones perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

YES means Daisy Edgar-Jones

24h volume
0
769 lifetime
Open interest
479
+0 over 7d
Spread
100 × 100 at the touch
24h range
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/ 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 97¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 16Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10257¢
  • ask5656¢
  • ask12654¢
  • ask10012¢
spreadmid
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Daisy Edgar-Jones performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Daisy Edgar-Jones satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Daisy Edgar-Jones is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Daisy Edgar-Jones appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Daisy Edgar-Jones was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Daisy Edgar-Jones is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Daisy Edgar-Jones being announced or performing in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”.

opened
Feb 14 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXPERFORMROLE007-DAI
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago5bought no
1mo ago5bought no
1mo ago100bought no
2mo ago12¢5bought yes
2mo ago15¢2bought yes
2mo ago95¢9.71bought yes
2mo ago49¢1bought yes
2mo ago25¢2bought yes
2mo ago500bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.