WHO WILL BE CHARACTER IN JAMES BOND·closes in 52mo

Will John Hoogenakker perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?

YES means John Hoogenakker

24h volume
0
257 lifetime
Open interest
103
+0 over 7d
Spread
69¢
0 × 141 at the touch
24h range
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 69¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 69¢
NO bid / ask
31¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,12598¢
  • ask4597¢
  • ask35595¢
  • ask14169¢
spreadmid
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If John Hoogenakker performs/ is announced as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

    For the purposes of this Contract, John Hoogenakker satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: John Hoogenakker is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: John Hoogenakker appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Felix Leiter in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but John Hoogenakker was officially announced in Felix Leiter, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Felix Leiter (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and John Hoogenakker is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without John Hoogenakker being announced or performing in Felix Leiter, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Felix Leiter.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jan 9 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-JOH
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    7d ago12¢1bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.