Will Cillian Murphy perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?
YES means Cillian Murphy
- 24h volume
- 0
- 777 lifetime
- Open interest
- 163
- +0.16 over 7d
- Spread
- 56¢
- 6.37 × 37 at the touch
- 24h range
- 19¢ – 29¢
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 81¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask0.3799¢
- ask20096¢
- ask4595¢
- ask3775¢
- bid6.3719¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Cillian Murphy performs/ is announced as The Villain in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, Cillian Murphy satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Cillian Murphy is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform The Villain in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Cillian Murphy appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as The Villain in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Cillian Murphy was officially announced in The Villain, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for The Villain (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Cillian Murphy is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Cillian Murphy being announced or performing in The Villain, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for The Villain.
- opened
- Jan 8 · 11:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-CIL
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 29¢ | 0.16 | bought yes |
| 6d ago | 19¢ | 5.93 | bought no |
| 13d ago | 26¢ | 37 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 26¢ | 50 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 25¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 25¢ | 3.5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 25¢ | 3.8 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.