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next player black panther·closes in 36mo

Will Sebastian Stan perform as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3?

YES means Sebastian Stan

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 7d
Spread
96¢
35 × 35 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
2¢ / 98¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask3598¢
spread96¢mid 50¢
  • bid352¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sebastian Stan performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Sebastian Stan satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Sebastian Stan is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Sebastian Stan appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as any role as an actor in any official performance, showing, or release of Black Panther 3. Additional clarification(s): If Black Panther 3 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Sebastian Stan was officially announced in any role as an actor, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for any role as an actor (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Sebastian Stan is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Black Panther 3 is cancelled or completes its run without Sebastian Stan being announced or performing in any role as an actor, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for any role as an actor.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 11 · 9:53 PM UTC
closes
Aug 31, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXPERFORMROLEBPANTHER-BP3-SEB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.