KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY·closes in 52mo

Will Sabrina Carpenter perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?

YES means Sabrina Carpenter

24h volume
0
513 lifetime
Open interest
250
−30 over 7d
Spread
20¢
0 × 7 at the touch
24h range
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 100¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask5597¢
  • ask20084¢
  • ask1264¢
  • ask1263¢
  • ask0.5948¢
  • ask720¢
spreadmid
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Sabrina Carpenter performs/ is announced as Britney Spears in the Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, then the market resolves to Yes.

    For the purposes of this Contract, Sabrina Carpenter satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Sabrina Carpenter is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Sabrina Carpenter appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Britney Spears in any official performance, showing, or release of Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu. Additional clarification(s): If Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Sabrina Carpenter was officially announced in Britney Spears, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Britney Spears (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Sabrina Carpenter is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is cancelled or completes its run without Sabrina Carpenter being announced or performing in Britney Spears, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Britney Spears.

    opened
    Jan 13 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-SAB
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 11 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    6d ago24bought no
    6d ago5.81bought no
    17d ago13¢14bought no
    17d ago14¢17bought no
    17d ago17¢11bought yes
    19d ago16¢30bought yes
    1mo ago16¢3.5bought yes
    2mo ago16¢3.21bought yes
    2mo ago11bought no
    2mo ago16¢5bought yes
    2mo ago17¢6.39bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.