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MAMDANI·closes in 222mo

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?

YES means Before Jan 22, 2045

24h volume
1,163
45.4k lifetime
Open interest
18.2k
−566 over 7d
Spread
3¢
967 × 200 at the touch
24h range
13¢ – 20¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%+1

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 88¢
24h low 13¢24h high 20¢
Recent buying78% YES · 22% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask45032¢
  • ask6830¢
  • ask1,00028¢
  • ask1027¢
  • ask45524¢
  • ask13923¢
  • ask2522¢
  • ask20015¢
spread3¢mid 14¢
  • bid96712¢
  • bid9710¢
  • bid449¢
  • bid2009¢
  • bid1508¢
  • bid758¢
  • bid2,0008¢
  • bid4248¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Zohran Mamdani becomes President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 4:10 PM UTC
closes
Jan 29, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 22, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPERSONPRESMAM-45
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 78% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago13¢1.13bought no
10h ago20¢50bought yes
10h ago19¢1bought yes
10h ago18¢200bought yes
10h ago17¢460bought yes
10h ago16¢15bought yes
10h ago16¢415bought yes
13h ago15¢10bought yes
14h ago16¢3.98bought yes
14h ago15¢7bought yes
1d ago12¢7bought no
1d ago16¢7bought yes
1d ago16¢29bought yes
1d ago14¢18bought yes
1d ago15¢27bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.