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MAMDANI·closes in 224mo

Will become President of the United States before 2045?

YES means Before 2045

24h volume
176
40.0k lifetime
Open interest
17.8k
+161 over 7d
Spread
1¢
11 × 337 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 12¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%+1

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
24h low 7¢24h high 12¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6830¢
  • ask51724¢
  • ask50223¢
  • ask5022¢
  • ask40018¢
  • ask45017¢
  • ask20015¢
  • ask33712¢
spread1¢mid 12¢
  • bid1111¢
  • bid999¢
  • bid1009¢
  • bid418¢
  • bid2098¢
  • bid108¢
  • bid3567¢
  • bid3847¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Zohran Mamdani becomes President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 4:10 PM UTC
closes
Jan 29, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 22, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPERSONPRESMAM-45
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago11¢5.57bought no
3h ago12¢1.09bought yes
3h ago12¢1.07bought yes
6h ago11¢2bought no
11h ago9¢1.09bought no
16h ago12¢67bought yes
16h ago11¢29bought yes
16h ago11¢69bought yes
1d ago10¢9bought yes
1d ago10¢0.4bought yes
1d ago11¢20bought yes
1d ago11¢0.77bought yes
1d ago11¢6.66bought yes
1d ago10¢3.77bought yes
1d ago8¢22bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.