Philippines House·closes in 33mo

Who will win the next Philippine House election?

YES means NPC

24h volume: 0; 4,478 lifetime
Open interest: 722; +0 over 7d
Spread: 10¢; 200 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –; 6 recent trades

Chance of YES

10%

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

90%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask

9¢ / 19¢

NO bid / ask

81¢ / 91¢

Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,000100¢
ask2,22299¢
ask1,96294¢
ask24494¢
ask150¢
ask1449¢
ask20019¢

spread10¢mid 14¢

bid2009¢
bid701¢
bid1,6900¢
bid1,0000¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the winner of the next Philippine House election is NPC, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources

Commission on Elections

opened: Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: May 31, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: May 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXPHILIPPINESHOUSE-28-NPC

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 88¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
27d ago	15¢	0.01	bought no
27d ago	10¢	0.2	bought no
27d ago	15¢	5	bought no
29d ago	16¢	0.01	bought yes
29d ago	18¢	1	bought yes
29d ago	18¢	4.2	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.