galdor.xyz
Admin
2028 Presidential matchup·closes in 26mo

Will Pete Buttigieg and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

YES means Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio

24h volume
0
9,521 lifetime
Open interest
7,824
+1,055 over 7d
Spread
1¢
12 × 390 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3423¢
  • ask373¢
  • ask52¢
  • ask182¢
  • ask9402¢
  • ask8.252¢
  • ask541¢
  • ask3901¢
spread1¢mid 1¢
  • bid120¢
  • bid9890¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Pete Buttigieg (D) and Marco Rubio (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXPRESMATCHUP-28NOV07-PBUTMRUB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 62¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago2¢795bought yes
2d ago2¢197bought yes
2d ago1¢2.09bought yes
2d ago1¢139bought yes
2d ago2¢3.16bought yes
2d ago2¢5.31bought yes
2d ago2¢53bought yes
10d ago0¢389bought no
10d ago0¢250bought no
10d ago1¢130bought no
10d ago0¢175bought no
10d ago1¢256bought no
10d ago1¢31bought no
12d ago2¢110bought yes
28d ago2¢110bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.