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Green Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

YES means Jill Stein

24h volume
0
1,436 lifetime
Open interest
837
+0 over 7d
Spread
40¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 98¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask5099¢
  • ask35390¢
  • ask24790¢
  • ask5352¢
  • ask5145¢
  • ask542¢
spread40¢mid 22¢
  • bid52¢
  • bid491¢
  • bid2000¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jill Stein wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMG-28-JSTE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 29¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 20 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago1¢1bought no
8d ago17¢200bought yes
10d ago17¢0.55bought yes
21d ago21¢14bought yes
22d ago17¢200bought yes
29d ago9¢11bought no
29d ago9¢84bought no
2mo ago14¢5bought yes
2mo ago15¢5bought yes
2mo ago16¢2.65bought yes
2mo ago10¢5bought no
2mo ago9¢6bought no
2mo ago16¢2bought yes
2mo ago16¢2bought yes
2mo ago16¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.