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2028 Presidential election: exact outcome·closes in 28mo

Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?

YES means Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance

24h volume
0
6,480 lifetime
Open interest
3,628
+9.78 over 7d
Spread
7¢
551 × 200 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 10¢
49 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 98¢
24h low 9¢24h high 10¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM), Presidential Winner (PRESPERSON). All conditions must be satisfied the 2028 presidential election.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JOSSJVAND
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 49 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago9¢10bought yes
1d ago10¢9.78bought yes
10d ago9¢157bought yes
24d ago9¢1bought yes
24d ago8¢40bought yes
24d ago9¢260bought yes
1mo ago6¢44bought yes
1mo ago6¢125bought yes
1mo ago8¢460bought yes
1mo ago6¢156bought yes
1mo ago6¢100bought yes
2mo ago7¢1bought yes
2mo ago7¢4bought yes
2mo ago7¢5.19bought yes
2mo ago6¢4bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.