Will Josh Shapiro defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Josh Shapiro as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?
YES means Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance
- 24h volume
- 0
- 687 lifetime
- Open interest
- 687
- Spread
- 5¢
- 251 × 450 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 10 recent trades
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 98¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5096¢
- ask3595¢
- ask15684¢
- ask15678¢
- ask5555¢
- ask67154¢
- ask12146¢
- ask4507¢
- bid2512¢
- bid1521¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM), Presidential Winner (PRESPERSON). All conditions must be satisfied the 2028 presidential election.
- opened
- Apr 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JSHAJVAND
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 10 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 250 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 25 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 125 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 31 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 94 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 28 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 126 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 2 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.