Prime energy source·closes in 76mo

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

YES means Traditional biomass

24h volume: 0; 5,302 lifetime
Open interest: 2,361; +0 over 7d
Spread: 1¢; 516 × 1,550 at the touch
24h range: –; 5 recent trades

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask

2¢ / 3¢

NO bid / ask

97¢ / 98¢

Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5,00089¢
ask4688¢
ask3287¢
ask145¢
ask2007¢
ask306¢
ask2384¢
ask1,5503¢

spread1¢mid 3¢

bid5162¢
bid8,0891¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Traditional biomass is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

opened: Jun 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes: Dec 30, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-BIOMASS

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1d ago	2¢	474	bought no
9d ago	2¢	1.01	bought no
11d ago	3¢	17	bought yes
1mo ago	2¢	1	bought no
1mo ago	2¢	8	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.