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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will SZA be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means SZA

24h volume
96
9,775 lifetime
Open interest
5,131
Spread
25¢
8 × 8 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%+18

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 39¢

YES bid / ask
61¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 39¢
Recent buying54% YES · 46% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,03898¢
  • ask2096¢
  • ask61294¢
  • ask28091¢
  • ask7090¢
  • ask2989¢
  • ask1787¢
  • ask886¢
spread25¢mid 74¢
  • bid861¢
  • bid19560¢
  • bid6.5440¢
  • bid3339¢
  • bid4237¢
  • bid10036¢
  • bid29734¢
  • bid55031¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If SZA is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-SZA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 54% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
27m ago86¢6.54bought yes
27m ago84¢5bought yes
4h ago60¢60bought no
6h ago61¢5bought no
6h ago60¢14bought no
11h ago61¢5bought no
11h ago60¢0.69bought no
1d ago68¢6.9bought no
2d ago71¢0.2bought yes
2d ago65¢15bought no
2d ago65¢14bought no
2d ago65¢5.46bought no
3d ago71¢6.9bought yes
4d ago71¢6.9bought yes
4d ago70¢2.79bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.