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Republican Presidential ticket·closes in 26mo

Will JD Vance and Erika Kirk be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?

YES means JD Vance and Erika Kirk

24h volume
0
16.3k lifetime
Open interest
11.9k
Spread
11¢
50 × 718 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 98¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask10097¢
  • ask10093¢
  • ask5,05190¢
  • ask55090¢
  • ask25439¢
  • ask1,00015¢
  • ask71813¢
spread11¢mid 8¢
  • bid502¢
  • bid5502¢
  • bid5001¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Republican presidential nominee is JD Vance AND the Republican vice presidential nominee is Erika Kirk in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 17 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXRTICKET-28NOV07-JVANEKIR
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago8¢8.2bought yes
2d ago11¢2.13bought yes
2d ago11¢39bought yes
2d ago8¢5bought yes
4d ago5¢18bought yes
6d ago5¢1bought yes
7d ago3¢23bought no
7d ago5¢1,000bought no
8d ago4¢2.74bought no
8d ago4¢2.74bought no
8d ago4¢2.83bought no
8d ago10¢19bought yes
12d ago5¢23bought yes
12d ago5¢200bought no
13d ago7¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.