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Scotland snap election·closes in 9mo

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament is called before Jul 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jul 1, 2027

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 7d
Spread
6¢
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 86¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask63787¢
  • ask20086¢
  • ask17068¢
  • ask65454¢
  • ask20022¢
  • ask10020¢
spread6¢mid 17¢
  • bid514¢
  • bid20013¢
  • bid3292¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If an extraordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament is called after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A snap election is an extraordinary general election to the Scottish Parliament under section 3 of the Scotland Act 1998. A qualifying call must be announced by a person or body with legal authority to call the election and must specify an actual polling date. Requests for an election, a dissolution resolution, or failure to nominate a First Minister without such a call do not qualify. Ordinary general elections and constituency by-elections do not qualify.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 14 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jul 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSCOTSNAP-28-27JUL01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.