Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Winston R. Anderson and Christopher M. Sulyma in Anderson v. Intel Corp. Investment Policy Committee
YES means Before Aug 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 435 lifetime
- Open interest
- 415
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 5¢
- 5 × 30 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 9 recent trades
A YES contract costs 47¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 58¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask10694¢
- ask98486¢
- ask75984¢
- ask24883¢
- ask1.9775¢
- ask15774¢
- ask20050¢
- ask3047¢
- bid542¢
- bid1041¢
- bid20040¢
- bid25114¢
- bid41513¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Supreme Court, in Anderson v. Intel Corp. Investment Policy Committee, rules an ERISA plaintiff alleging imprudent investment based on fund underperformance need not plead a “meaningful benchmark", then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that, for claims predicated on fund underperformance, a plaintiff alleging that an ERISA fiduciary breached the duty of prudence when investing plan assets is not required to allege a “meaningful benchmark,” after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that such a claim requires alleging a meaningful benchmark. A remand resolves to Yes only if accompanied by the foregoing merits holding; dismissal, dismissal as improvidently granted, or remand without deciding the benchmark question resolves to No.
- opened
- Jul 24 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOTUSCASE-ANDINT28
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?.
Recent trades
Over the last 9 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 40¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 12d ago | 49¢ | 1.97 | bought yes |
| 16d ago | 49¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 42¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 42¢ | 0.13 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 38¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 34¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 33¢ | 0.13 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 27¢ | 0.13 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.