KXSENATEPAD·closes in 38mo

Will Brendan Boyle be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Pennsylvania?

YES means Brendan Boyle

24h volume
0
3,495 lifetime
Open interest
2,200
Spread
19¢
100 × 908 at the touch
24h range
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/ 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 99¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask10099¢
  • ask54092¢
  • ask5,05492¢
  • ask90820¢
spread19¢mid 10¢
  • bid100
  • bid340
  • bid1,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Brendan Boyle wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Mar 26 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSENATEPAD-28-BBOY
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 103¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago20¢24bought yes
26d ago28¢500bought no
29d ago29¢82bought yes
29d ago100bought no
2mo ago34¢5bought no
2mo ago32¢200bought yes
2mo ago30¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.