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The Simpsons ending·closes in 40mo

Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending?

YES means Before 2030

24h volume
0
7,145 lifetime
Open interest
3,034
+10 over 7d
Spread
12¢
5 × 10 at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%

A YES contract costs 72¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask
60¢ / 72¢
NO bid / ask
28¢ / 40¢
Recent buying63% YES · 37% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
55¢60¢65¢70¢75¢volSep 15Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask49198¢
  • ask1,22296¢
  • ask44494¢
  • ask31193¢
  • ask1092¢
  • ask2.9581¢
  • ask373¢
  • ask1072¢
spread12¢mid 66¢
  • bid560¢
  • bid22259¢
  • bid26828¢
  • bid31627¢
  • bid4448¢
  • bid4444¢
  • bid4,3491¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If there is an announcement that The Simpsons will end, has been cancelled, or is entering its final season, before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

An announcement is sufficient to resolve the market to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 12, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSHOWENDSIMPSONS-30
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending?.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago59¢12bought no
3d ago59¢6.81bought no
3d ago60¢5bought no
5d ago59¢6.81bought no
5d ago60¢5bought no
11d ago66¢2.95bought yes
1mo ago64¢4bought yes
1mo ago64¢23bought yes
1mo ago67¢2.34bought yes
2mo ago66¢0.99bought yes
2mo ago67¢3.8bought yes
2mo ago66¢3.8bought yes
2mo ago59¢2.34bought no
2mo ago60¢4.79bought no
2mo ago66¢2.79bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.