SOL Monthly One touch ·closes in 10d

Will SOL trimmed mean be above $120.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $120.00

24h volume
529
11.2k lifetime
Open interest
7,408
+4,264 over 7d
Spread
928 × 2.31 at the touch
24h range
23¢ – 35¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
35%9

A YES contract costs 44¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
65%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 44¢
NO bid / ask
56¢ / 60¢
24h low 23¢24h high 35¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask557¢
  • ask10056¢
  • ask555¢
  • ask1,00054¢
  • ask3,00049¢
  • ask6.4848¢
  • ask14047¢
  • ask2.3144¢
spreadmid 42¢
  • bid92840¢
  • bid539¢
  • bid3,00038¢
  • bid15537¢
  • bid536¢
  • bid80016¢
  • bid3511¢
  • bid4810¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 120.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
120
ticker
KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26SEP30-12000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago35¢250bought yes
4h ago35¢50bought yes
7h ago31¢5bought no
7h ago29¢8.89bought no
14h ago24¢6.47bought no
21h ago23¢84bought no
21h ago26¢5bought no
21h ago26¢93bought no
21h ago28¢5bought no
21h ago28¢20bought no
21h ago28¢2bought no
1d ago44¢44bought yes
2d ago52¢18bought yes
2d ago49¢5bought yes
2d ago49¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.