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Spotify Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 840 million total monthly active users in 2026?

YES means Above 840 million

24h volume
0
279 lifetime
Open interest
37
Spread
8¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
30%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
70%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 74¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,16199¢
  • ask19998¢
  • ask20035¢
  • ask534¢
spread8¢mid 30¢
  • bid526¢
  • bid20025¢
  • bid354¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 840000000 total monthly active users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
840000000
ticker
KXSPOTA-28JANMAU-840000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17d ago30¢49bought no
2mo ago32¢2.35bought no
2mo ago33¢30bought no
2mo ago34¢5bought no
2mo ago39¢49bought yes
2mo ago32¢2.87bought no
2mo ago39¢2.45bought yes
2mo ago39¢2.45bought yes
2mo ago39¢2.45bought yes
2mo ago38¢30bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.