Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature·closed · YES

Will the temp in Coastal Los Angeles be above 74.99° on Sep 20, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

YES means 75° or above

24h volume
928
928 lifetime
Open interest
463
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the temperature recorded at Coastal Los Angeles for Sep 20, 2026 at 6 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 74.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
74.99
ticker
KXTEMPLAXHS-26SEP2018-T74.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago96¢42bought yes
2h ago94¢1bought yes
2h ago90¢65bought yes
2h ago99¢70bought yes
2h ago99¢25bought yes
2h ago99¢5.36bought yes
2h ago99¢0.57bought yes
2h ago88¢200bought no
2h ago83¢200bought yes
2h ago79¢37bought yes
2h ago76¢20bought no
2h ago78¢20bought no
2h ago83¢0.89bought yes
2h ago79¢4.15bought no
2h ago85¢12bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.