Hourly Directional Miami Temperature·closed · NO

Will the temp in Miami be above 76.99° on Sep 20, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

YES means 77° or above

24h volume
1,137
1,137 lifetime
Open interest
761
+0 over 7d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 21¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
24h low 24h high 21¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 10:00 PMSep 20, 11:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the temperature recorded at Miami, FL for Sep 20, 2026 at 6 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 76.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
76.99
ticker
KXTEMPMIAH-26SEP2018-T76.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago11¢17bought yes
2h ago11¢7.89bought yes
2h ago17¢12bought yes
2h ago0.88bought no
2h ago49bought no
2h ago11¢17bought yes
2h ago50bought no
2h ago22bought yes
2h ago19¢8.46bought yes
2h ago12¢9bought yes
2h ago10bought no
2h ago2.61bought yes
2h ago19bought no
2h ago6bought no
2h ago6bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.