Hourly Directional NYC Temperature·closed · YES

Will the temp in New York City be above 64.99° on Sep 21, 2026 at 1am EDT?

YES means 65° or above

24h volume
338
338 lifetime
Open interest
250
+0 over 7d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
96¢ – 99¢
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
24h low 96¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 21, 5:00 AMSep 21, 6:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the temperature recorded at New York City for Sep 21, 2026 at 1 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 64.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 21 · 4:00 AM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
64.99
ticker
KXTEMPNYCHS-26SEP2101-T64.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago97¢23bought no
2h ago98¢12bought no
2h ago97¢12bought no
2h ago96¢24bought no
2h ago97¢50bought no
3h ago99¢17bought yes
3h ago96¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.