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Trump Attorneys General·closes in 28mo

How many Attorneys General will Trump have?

YES means 2

24h volume
0
9,843 lifetime
Open interest
2,578
+0 over 7d
Spread
3¢
255 × 5.1 at the touch
24h range
–
28 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 47¢

YES bid / ask
53¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 47¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,34690¢
  • ask1,10190¢
  • ask53389¢
  • ask187¢
  • ask19981¢
  • ask25060¢
  • ask1.4558¢
  • ask5.156¢
spread3¢mid 55¢
  • bid25553¢
  • bid1953¢
  • bid323¢
  • bid3,4722¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If President Trump has exactly 2 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes.

This count will begin with the first confirmed person to hold that position during Trump's presidency, who will count as the first. Persons operating as an Acting Cabinet member will count towards this number, provided they take office after the first person is confirmed. If the role is filled by a person who has already held the office in some form during Trump's term, that will not count as a separate person. Persons will only count if they are filling in a vacancy rather than a temporary delegation of authority; for example, if the Attorney General delegates their authority to an Acting or Interim Attorney General because of a medical procedure, there is no additional person counted.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 27, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
2
cap
2
ticker
KXTRUMPAGCOUNT-29-2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 28 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago55¢15bought yes
8d ago58¢15bought yes
10d ago53¢1.64bought no
11d ago56¢17bought yes
14d ago53¢2bought no
18d ago53¢6bought no
18d ago53¢3bought no
26d ago55¢2bought yes
26d ago55¢2bought yes
26d ago55¢2bought yes
1mo ago59¢1.64bought yes
1mo ago54¢3.28bought no
1mo ago54¢5bought no
1mo ago53¢5bought no
2mo ago53¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.