Will Donald Trump endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?
YES means No one
- 24h volume
- 393
- 6,695 lifetime
- Open interest
- 3,910
- +404 over 7d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 348 × 221 at the touch
- 24h range
- 17¢ – 17¢
A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 84¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
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How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Donald Trump publicly endorses no one in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2028 presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2028 presidential election The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels The following scenarios would resolve to YES: Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. If no endorsement occurs before expiration, the "No one" strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve "No."
- opened
- Jul 27 · 5:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXTRUMPENDORSE28-28MAR01-NOONE
This event
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Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.