galdor.xyz
Admin
Trump removed·closes in 28mo

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

YES means Before his term ends

24h volume
342
686.0k lifetime
Open interest
221.1k
Spread
1¢
2,395 × 21 at the touch
24h range
16¢ – 18¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%−2

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
24h low 16¢24h high 18¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,05724¢
  • ask1,60423¢
  • ask1,16422¢
  • ask2,71321¢
  • ask3,57720¢
  • ask10.4k19¢
  • ask3,50918¢
  • ask2117¢
spread1¢mid 17¢
  • bid2,39516¢
  • bid3,19315¢
  • bid2,70814¢
  • bid3,35613¢
  • bid2,70312¢
  • bid5211¢
  • bid25510¢
  • bid989¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S. Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The President must be the sitting President as of the day. the Senate votes on conviction to be included in this market.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 9, 2024 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTRUMPREMOVE
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
48m ago16¢4.98bought no
2h ago16¢2.35bought no
3h ago16¢15bought no
4h ago17¢1bought yes
6h ago16¢11bought no
6h ago18¢2.35bought yes
6h ago18¢53bought yes
7h ago17¢13bought no
8h ago17¢3bought no
9h ago18¢28bought yes
10h ago18¢2.25bought yes
11h ago18¢6.74bought yes
11h ago17¢5.95bought yes
11h ago17¢22bought yes
11h ago17¢0.56bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.