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Tesla KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Tesla, Inc. report above 135000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?

YES means Above 135000

24h volume
0
2,461 lifetime
Open interest
466
Spread
8¢
200 × 62 at the touch
24h range
–
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
76%

A YES contract costs 83¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
24%

costs 25¢

YES bid / ask
75¢ / 83¢
NO bid / ask
17¢ / 25¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1299¢
  • ask58898¢
  • ask20097¢
  • ask20085¢
  • ask6283¢
spread8¢mid 79¢
  • bid20075¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tesla, Inc. reports above 135000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market refers to the annual figure reported in Tesla, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 10:14 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
135000
ticker
KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-135000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago76¢3.61bought no
16d ago79¢152bought yes
16d ago82¢3.61bought yes
17d ago75¢152bought no
1mo ago75¢12bought no
1mo ago83¢12bought yes
1mo ago83¢1.63bought yes
1mo ago83¢12bought yes
2mo ago77¢0.11bought no
2mo ago84¢0.11bought yes
2mo ago84¢2bought yes
2mo ago84¢0.11bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.