UFC Title Holder·closes in 16mo

Aleksandar Rakić to be Light Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

YES means Aleksandar Rakić

24h volume
118
829 lifetime
Open interest
646
Spread
14¢
53 × 5 at the touch
24h range
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%+12

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/ 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 99¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Aleksandar Rakić is the UFC Light Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

opened
Aug 26 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 7:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 5:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUFCTITLE-LHW27-ARAK
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 63¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23h ago16¢113bought yes
23h ago15¢5bought yes
7d ago234bought yes
9d ago117bought yes
9d ago23bought yes
9d ago23bought yes
9d ago6.09bought yes
10d ago47bought no
15d ago167bought yes
15d ago47bought yes
15d ago47bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.