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who will perform at venue·closes in 16mo

Will Vampire Weekend perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

YES means Vampire Weekend

24h volume
200
3,408 lifetime
Open interest
2,007
+2,007 over 7d
Spread
1¢
6,251 × 3,827 at the touch
24h range
16¢ – 18¢
37 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%+2

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 85¢
24h low 16¢24h high 18¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3151¢
  • ask25850¢
  • ask18949¢
  • ask9837¢
  • ask50030¢
  • ask1,09418¢
  • ask55517¢
  • ask3,82716¢
spread1¢mid 16¢
  • bid6,25115¢
  • bid2413¢
  • bid10012¢
  • bid50010¢
  • bid1956¢
  • bid533¢
  • bid2,2532¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Vampire Weekend performs at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVENUEPERFORM-REDROCKS28JAN01-VAM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 37 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10h ago18¢50bought yes
10h ago18¢18bought yes
10h ago17¢24bought yes
10h ago17¢30bought yes
10h ago18¢50bought yes
10h ago18¢1bought yes
10h ago18¢12bought yes
12h ago16¢15bought yes
2d ago16¢23bought yes
2d ago14¢29bought yes
2d ago15¢100bought yes
4d ago20¢29bought no
4d ago20¢200bought no
4d ago17¢50bought yes
4d ago16¢500bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.