Will Beyoncé perform at Las Vegas Sphere 2027?
YES means Beyoncé
- 24h volume
- 0
- 6,009 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,138
- +3 over 7d
- Spread
- 73¢
- 5 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- 22¢ – 22¢
- 25 recent trades
A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 78¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Beyoncé performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.
- in hierarchical order
- The Source Agencies are
- The Hollywood Reporter
- <person>
- ABC
- Rolling Stone
- official social media accounts of confirmed performers at <venue> in the same <time period> as <person>
- Fox
- Variety
- Billboard
- Deadline
- social media accounts of event organizers at <venue>
- NBC
- Associated Press
- the official broadcaster of the event at <venue>
- CNN
- social media accounts
- official <venue> website
- Entertainment Weekly
- Reuters
- CBS
- the official website
- opened
- Dec 19, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-BEY
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 25 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 22¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 20¢ | 6.8 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 22¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 22¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 22¢ | 4.27 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 23¢ | 4.47 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 22¢ | 3.5 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 22¢ | 2.63 | bought yes |
| 23d ago | 22¢ | 99 | bought yes |
| 25d ago | 22¢ | 99 | bought yes |
| 25d ago | 22¢ | 4.27 | bought yes |
| 25d ago | 20¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 69¢ | 23 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 22¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 24¢ | 1 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.