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KXVPRESNOMR·closes in 26mo

Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Josh Hawley

24h volume
49
47.3k lifetime
Open interest
33.9k
Spread
1¢
25 × 5,388 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 2¢
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%+1

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 2¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Josh Hawley accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXVPRESNOMR-28-JH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 70¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20h ago2¢39bought yes
20h ago2¢5.1bought yes
20h ago2¢2.34bought yes
20h ago2¢2.91bought yes
4d ago1¢133bought no
4d ago1¢3.27bought no
4d ago1¢7.37bought no
7d ago1¢5.93bought no
7d ago1¢0.75bought no
7d ago1¢1.32bought no
8d ago2¢39bought yes
8d ago2¢1bought yes
8d ago2¢1bought yes
8d ago1¢0.23bought no
8d ago1¢0.77bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.