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World Cup Qualifiers·closes in 53mo

Will Cape Verde qualify for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup?

YES means Cape Verde

24h volume
0
1,423 lifetime
Open interest
702
+1 over 7d
Spread
9¢
5 × 250 at the touch
24h range
–
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%

A YES contract costs 69¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask
60¢ / 69¢
NO bid / ask
31¢ / 40¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25069¢
spread9¢mid 65¢
  • bid560¢
  • bid20059¢
  • bid1,7534¢
  • bid514¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Cape Verde qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Important information: This market resolves Yes if Cape Verde officially qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup under the qualification format in effect for that tournament. Any change to the tournament format, including an expansion or reduction in the number of participating teams, will not affect resolution; this market will resolve solely based on whether Cape Verde qualifies for the main tournament. Advancing to a later stage of qualification without securing a place in the main tournament does not count. The market will resolve based on official confirmation from FIFA or the applicable continental confederation.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 21 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWCQUAL-30-CPV
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago69¢1bought yes
2mo ago74¢32bought yes
2mo ago73¢66bought yes
2mo ago72¢66bought yes
2mo ago72¢66bought yes
2mo ago73¢68bought yes
2mo ago72¢66bought yes
2mo ago73¢68bought yes
2mo ago72¢68bought yes
2mo ago70¢66bought yes
2mo ago69¢66bought yes
2mo ago71¢68bought yes
2mo ago69¢1.41bought yes
2mo ago69¢2.83bought yes
2mo ago69¢13bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.