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Women's Pro Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Las Vegas wins the game by over 9.5 points

YES means Las Vegas wins by over 9.5 points

24h volume
4,419
5,168 lifetime
Open interest
3,570
Spread
5¢
292 × 88 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 84¢
NO bid / ask
16¢ / 21¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask294¢
  • ask3292¢
  • ask2,00289¢
  • ask1,64088¢
  • ask2,00086¢
  • ask50385¢
  • ask2,31683¢
  • ask2482¢
spread5¢mid 80¢
  • bid2,10177¢
  • bid11976¢
  • bid3,15474¢
  • bid52172¢
  • bid2,00069¢
  • bid25064¢
  • bid163¢
  • bid14262¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Las Vegas wins by more than 9.5 points in the Seattle vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
9.5
ticker
KXWNBASPREAD-26SEP20SEALV-LV10
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
36s ago85¢24bought yes
36s ago85¢24bought yes
36s ago85¢68bought yes
2m ago88¢500bought no
9m ago88¢80bought no
9m ago88¢52bought no
11m ago86¢2bought yes
11m ago85¢47bought no
11m ago85¢38bought no
11m ago79¢2bought yes
14m ago78¢138bought no
16m ago73¢6.72bought yes
17m ago68¢250bought no
17m ago68¢149bought no
21m ago69¢1.81bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.