XRP Max Monthly·closes in 10d

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $2.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $2.00

24h volume
0
34.1k lifetime
Open interest
29.1k
+6,640 over 7d
Spread
343 × 604 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 97¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask86199¢
  • ask1,82360¢
  • ask40018¢
  • ask3,00014¢
  • ask100
  • ask604
spreadmid
  • bid343
  • bid3,129
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 2.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
2
ticker
KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26SEP30-200
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago6bought yes
1d ago14¢10bought yes
1d ago93bought yes
1d ago10¢10bought yes
1d ago48bought yes
1d ago10¢43bought yes
1d ago40bought yes
1d ago4.09bought no
1d ago55bought no
1d ago4.09bought no
1d ago96bought no
1d ago11¢13bought yes
1d ago10¢174bought yes
1d ago11¢21bought yes
1d ago10¢24bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.