KXXRPMINMON·closes in 10d

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.10 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Below $1.10

24h volume
40
9,833 lifetime
Open interest
7,071
+723 over 7d
Spread
179 × 123 at the touch
24h range
5¢ – 14¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%19

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/ 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 97¢
24h low 24h high 14¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4786¢
  • ask1285¢
  • ask2080¢
  • ask3379¢
  • ask3,00013¢
  • ask12312¢
spreadmid
  • bid179
  • bid3,000
  • bid2.38
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $1.10, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
cap
1.1
ticker
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26SEP30-110
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18h ago1.89bought no
18h ago18bought no
18h ago14¢20bought yes
3d ago24¢59bought yes
3d ago25¢3bought yes
4d ago22¢125bought no
4d ago38¢125bought yes
5d ago30¢16bought yes
5d ago32¢294bought yes
5d ago32¢294bought yes
5d ago28¢74bought yes
5d ago28¢8bought yes
5d ago28¢33bought yes
5d ago28¢85bought yes
5d ago23¢0.11bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.