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Georgia Senate race·closes in 14mo

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Georgia?

YES means Mike Collins

24h volume
779
939.0k lifetime
Open interest
667.1k
+28.5k over 7d
Spread
0¢
382 × 105 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%−0

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 93¢
24h low 7¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.1k8¢
  • ask7,9457¢
  • ask4007¢
  • ask2,2227¢
  • ask8,5737¢
  • ask6,1017¢
  • ask5007¢
  • ask1057¢
spread0¢mid 7¢
  • bid3827¢
  • bid856¢
  • bid216¢
  • bid3036¢
  • bid1,6176¢
  • bid10.5k6¢
  • bid356¢
  • bid14.7k6¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Georgia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 3, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEGA-26-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago7¢68bought yes
1h ago7¢0.69bought yes
5h ago7¢250bought no
5h ago7¢115bought no
5h ago7¢28bought yes
7h ago7¢5bought yes
8h ago7¢57bought yes
10h ago7¢30bought no
10h ago7¢25bought no
14h ago7¢200bought yes
1d ago7¢67bought yes
1d ago7¢671bought yes
1d ago7¢67bought yes
1d ago7¢134bought yes
1d ago7¢134bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.