Georgia Senate race·closes in 38mo

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia?

YES means Democratic party

24h volume: 0; 1,320 lifetime
Open interest: 1,090; +0 over 7d
Spread: 3¢; 503 × 500 at the touch
24h range: –; 7 recent trades

Chance of YES

69%

A YES contract costs 69¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

31%

costs 34¢

YES bid / ask

66¢ / 69¢

NO bid / ask

31¢ / 34¢

Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,00096¢
ask14.7k94¢
ask3,28494¢
ask4,00889¢
ask88887¢
ask23386¢
ask4285¢
ask50069¢

spread3¢mid 68¢

bid50366¢
bid142¢
bid6435¢
bid4733¢
bid98830¢
bid1,17528¢
bid1,69923¢
bid2,07719¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Georgia for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

United States Congress

opened: Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: SENATEGA-28-D

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 103¢).

Republican party34¢

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
3d ago	69¢	3	bought yes
14d ago	69¢	10	bought yes
17d ago	69¢	28	bought yes
2mo ago	64¢	0.14	bought no
2mo ago	69¢	0.14	bought yes
2mo ago	69¢	66	bought yes
2mo ago	64¢	66	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.