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Idaho Senate race·closes in 14mo

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Idaho?

YES means David Roth

24h volume
6
50.3k lifetime
Open interest
24.2k
+218 over 7d
Spread
0¢
127 × 26 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%+0

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask432¢
  • ask4,2592¢
  • ask10.0k2¢
  • ask2,6011¢
  • ask2,0001¢
  • ask1,4491¢
  • ask251¢
  • ask261¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid1270¢
  • bid6560¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 3, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEID-26-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 102¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
48m ago1¢6bought yes
2d ago0¢137bought no
3d ago1¢20bought yes
3d ago1¢10bought yes
3d ago1¢6bought yes
3d ago1¢4bought yes
3d ago1¢2bought yes
3d ago1¢6bought yes
3d ago1¢6bought yes
3d ago1¢6bought yes
3d ago1¢5bought yes
3d ago1¢6bought yes
3d ago1¢142bought yes
3d ago1¢9bought yes
7d ago1¢3.99bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.