Senate NY·closes in 38mo

Will Democratics win the Senate race in New York?

YES means Democratic party

24h volume
0
1,169 lifetime
Open interest
745
Spread
33¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs 36¢

YES bid / ask
64¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
/ 36¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of New York for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATENY-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago96¢1bought yes
23d ago91¢5.45bought yes
23d ago91¢15bought no
23d ago88¢90bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.