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South Carolina Senate race·closes in 38mo

Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?

YES means Democratic party

24h volume
0
4,451 lifetime
Open interest
2,035
+19 over 7d
Spread
9¢
205 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 85¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,61874¢
  • ask94969¢
  • ask53264¢
  • ask1,03663¢
  • ask40762¢
  • ask27558¢
  • ask5457¢
  • ask20024¢
spread9¢mid 20¢
  • bid20515¢
  • bid25¢
  • bid354¢
  • bid14¢
  • bid162¢
  • bid512¢
  • bid3222¢
  • bid1,2191¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATESC-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 109¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago25¢14bought yes
4d ago24¢5bought yes
20d ago13¢0.25bought no
1mo ago21¢19bought yes
1mo ago14¢7bought no
1mo ago14¢12bought no
1mo ago18¢100bought no
1mo ago18¢10bought no
2mo ago15¢14bought no
2mo ago16¢107bought no
2mo ago16¢5bought no
2mo ago19¢71bought yes
2mo ago21¢206bought yes
2mo ago20¢9.46bought yes
2mo ago19¢69bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.