Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington rules that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Change as of 5:00 AM ET December 15 2023: The market's terms and conditions note that, "The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event that is encompassed in the Payout Criterion or the first 10:00 AM ET after date." However, the Payout Criterion only encompasses Amazon being found liable for the counts alleged by the FTC, and not just a decision or settlement happening. The language will be amended such that expiration, like the last trading date, will happen once claims are settled, regardless of whether Amazon is found liable for the counts alleged. This will be done as part of the CFTC's provisions that allow for non-economic changes to contracts, and will be reflected in the rules today, December 15th.
early_close_conditionIf this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET.
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask1,28777¢
ask9175¢
ask10074¢
ask1,05973¢
ask10070¢
ask5769¢
ask20050¢
ask8.3749¢
spread7¢mid 45¢
bid5.5442¢
bid23340¢
bid5034¢
bid48133¢
bid1032¢
bid529¢
bid1028¢
bid5026¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Yes
No
Size
Taker
2h ago
42¢
58¢
2.81
no
10h ago
41¢
59¢
8.23
no
13h ago
42¢
58¢
8.37
no
1d ago
42¢
58¢
1.65
no
1d ago
40¢
60¢
15
no
2d ago
40¢
60¢
1.94
no
2d ago
49¢
51¢
0.68
yes
2d ago
49¢
51¢
3.08
yes
2d ago
50¢
50¢
6.31
yes
2d ago
49¢
51¢
5
yes
3d ago
48¢
52¢
4.93
yes
3d ago
48¢
52¢
4.99
yes
3d ago
49¢
51¢
0.11
yes
3d ago
41¢
59¢
4.11
no
3d ago
47¢
53¢
5
no
3d ago
49¢
51¢
4.21
yes
3d ago
48¢
52¢
5
yes
4d ago
48¢
52¢
5
yes
4d ago
49¢
51¢
4.21
yes
4d ago
50¢
50¢
0.71
yes
4d ago
47¢
53¢
3.79
no
4d ago
48¢
52¢
0.42
no
4d ago
48¢
52¢
5
no
5d ago
48¢
52¢
20
no
6d ago
52¢
48¢
3.72
yes
event_ticker
AMAZONFTC-29DEC31
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2030-01-01T09:04:00Z
expiration_time2030-01-02T04:59:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.4200
latest_expiration_time2030-01-02T04:59:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.5800
no_bid_dollars0.5100
no_sub_titleGovernment wins
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp7192.46
open_time2023-10-23T21:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.4200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.5000
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.4200
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington rules that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryChange as of 5:00 AM ET December 15 2023: The market's terms and conditions note that, "The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event that is encompassed in the Payout Criterion or the first 10:00 AM ET after date." However, the Payout Criterion only encompasses Amazon being found liable for the counts alleged by the FTC, and not just a decision or settlement happening. The language will be amended such that expiration, like the last trading date, will happen once claims are settled, regardless of whether Amazon is found liable for the counts alleged. This will be done as part of the CFTC's provisions that allow for non-economic changes to contracts, and will be reflected in the rules today, December 15th.
settlement_timer_seconds3600
statusactive
tickerAMAZONFTC-29DEC31
titleWill a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly?