Will the Republican party win the House in 2028?

Republican partyactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

26¢ / 29¢

spread 3¢

Last trade

29¢

–

No bid / ask

71¢ / 74¢

24h volume

17

7,158 lifetime

Open interest

3,186

top of book 76 × 505

Closes

in 29mo

Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask46851¢
ask278

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the Republican party has won control of the House in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2029.

opens: May 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes: Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

No trades yet.

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2029-02-01T15:00:00Z

created_time2026-05-15T18:09:17.487581Z

custom_strike2

50¢

ask31834¢

ask10033¢

ask1,10032¢

ask10031¢

ask21830¢

ask50529¢

spread3¢mid 28¢

bid7626¢
bid1,00025¢
bid1223¢
bid10022¢
bid10021¢
bid71413¢
bid32.5k12¢
bid115.7k10¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

Chamber of Congress

House

PartyRepublican

event_tickerCONTROLH-2028

exchange_index0

expected_expiration_time2029-02-01T15:00:00Z

expiration_time2029-02-01T15:00:00Z

expiration_value

last_price_dollars0.2900

latest_expiration_time2029-02-01T15:00:00Z

liquidity_dollars0.0000

market_typebinary

no_ask_dollars0.7400

no_bid_dollars0.7100

no_sub_titleRepublican party

notional_value_dollars1.0000

occurrence_datetime2029-02-01T15:00:00Z

open_interest_fp3186.08

open_time2026-05-15T21:00:00Z

previous_price_dollars0.2900

previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2800

previous_yes_bid_dollars0.2500

price_level_structurelinear_cent

price_ranges1

[0]3

end1.0000

start0.0000

step0.0100

result

rules_primaryIf the Republican party has won control of the House in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

rules_secondaryThis market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2029.