Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the conclusion of the January joint session of Congress to count electoral college ballots, including if no candidate receives a majority of electoral votes.
event_tickerECMOV-28NOV07
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-05-06T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike1
last_price_dollars0.0400
latest_expiration_time2029-05-06T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9600
no_bid_dollars0.9200
no_sub_titleRepublican by 1 to 10
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2029-01-08T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp380.03
open_time2026-05-15T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondary
settlement_timer_seconds14
statusactive
strike_typebetween
tickerECMOV-28NOV07-REP1T10
titleWill Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?